71 research outputs found

    Wet Land Paddy Weeding - A Comprehensive Comparative Study from South India

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    Rosana G. Moreira, Editor-in-Chief; Texas A&M UniversityThis is a paper from International Commission of Agricultural Engineering (CIGR, Commission Internationale du Genie Rural) E-Journal Volume 9 (2007): Wet Land Paddy Weeding - A Comprehensive Comparative Study from South India. Manuscript PM 07 011. Vol. IX. December, 2007

    Nonlinear Modelling of Daily Solar Radiation Using Gamma Test

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    Solar Radiation Distribution Conditioned on Precipitation

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    Raingauge siting using the gamma test

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    The quality of precipitation data can have a significant impact upon rainfall analysis and subsequent hydrological modelling. Many water resource projects are often derived from raingauge networks, but these are only able to measure rainfall at a point location. Although other technologies such as weather radar and weather satellites can tell us about the spatial nature of the rainfall field, many uncertainties remain regarding the reliability of the rainfall estimates they produce under various conditions. Judicious siting of raingauges provides a valuable contribution to spatial rainfall estimations as well as a means of calibration for apparatus which provide rainfall estimations through indirect means. In this paper, the gamma test is investigated as a means for obtaining the most relevant sites for raingauge locations. The gamma test is a nonlinear analysis tool, which can be used for feature selection; it is this characteristic of feature selection which is applied to precipitation data, obtained from a dense raingauge network (49 gauges) across the Brue catchment in southwest England, to single out the most influential raingauge sites. This paper assesses the effectiveness of this use of the gamma test, and considers the impact it has upon improving the quality of rainfall data used in hydrological models. Copyright © 2009 IAHS Press

    Application of PCA and clustering methods in input selection of hybrid runoff models

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    This study has proposed and investigated a novel input variable selection method for nonlinear modelling based on principle component analysis (PCA) and cluster analysis. The proposed approach was applied to daily rainfall-runoff modelling of the Brue catchment of the United Kingdom using wavelet based hybrid forms of two nonlinear models, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Local Linear Regression (LLR), to identify meaningful wavelet decomposed sub-series. The homogenous group formation capability of cluster analysis and redundancy assessment capability of PCA were applied effectively in this study to solve input selection uncertainties associated with wavelet based hybrid models. Though this concept has been represented in the selection of effective wavelet decomposed subseries in runoff modelling, the application has gotten wider implications in time series modelling with highly redundant and large input space. The study revealed the weakness of conventional forms of cross-correlation analysis and also suggested that input selection could be improved by making sufficient natural clusters (equal to the desired number of input data series) of input space and restricting the search within each cluster according to silhouette or correlation value. The study also highlighted the higher modelling capability of ANN over traditional LLR models in rainfall-runoff modelling of the Brue catchment

    Model data selection using gamma test for daily solar radiation estimation, Hydrol. Process

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    Abstract: Hydrological modelling is a complicated procedure and there are many tough questions facing all modellers: what input data should be used? how much data is required? and what model should be used? In this paper, the gamma test (GT) has been used for the first time in modelling one of the key hydrological components: solar radiation. The study aimed to resolve the questions about the relative importance of input variables and to determine the optimum number of data points required to construct a reliable smooth model. The proposed methodology has been studied through the estimation of daily solar radiation in the Brue Catchment, the UK. The relationship between input and output in the meteorological data sets was achieved through error variance estimation before the modelling using the GT. This work has demonstrated how the GT helps model development in nonlinear modelling techniques such as local linear regression (LLR) and artificial neural networks (ANN). It was found that the GT provided very useful information for input data selection and subsequent model development. The study has wider implications for various hydrological modelling practices and suggests further exploration of this technique for improving informed data and model selection, which has been a difficult field in hydrology in past decades

    Quantifying the uncertainties of climate change effects on the storage-yield and performance characteristics of the Pong multi-purpose reservoir, India

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    Climate change is predicted to affect water resources infrastructure due to its effect on rainfall, temperature and evapotranspiration. However, there are huge uncertainties on both the magnitude and direction of these effects. The Pong reservoir on the Beas River in northern India serves irrigation and hydropower needs. The hydrology of the catchment is highly influenced by Himalayan seasonal snow and glaciers, and Monsoon rainfall; the changing pattern of the latter and the predicted disappearance of the former will have profound effects on the performance of the reservoir. This study employed a Monte-Carlo simulation approach to characterise the uncertainties in the future storage requirements and performance of the reservoir. Using a calibrated rainfall-runoff (R-R) model, the baseline runoff scenario was first simulated. The R-R inputs (rainfall and temperature) were then perturbed using plausible delta-changes to produce simulated climate change runoff scenarios. Stochastic models of the runoff were developed and used to generate ensembles of both the current and climate-change perturbed future scenarios. The resulting runoff ensembles were used to simulate the behaviour of the reservoir and determine "populations" of reservoir storage capacity and performance characteristics. Comparing these parameters between the current and the perturbed provided the population of climate change effects which was then analysed to determine the uncertainties. The results show that contrary to the usual practice of using single records, there is wide variability in the assessed impacts. This variability or uncertainty will, no doubt, complicate the development of climate change adaptation measures; however, knowledge of its sheer magnitude as demonstrated in this study will help in the formulation of appropriate policy and technical interventions for sustaining and possibly enhancing water security for irrigation and other uses served by Pong reservoir
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